Download Contemporary Research in Population Geography: A Comparison by John Stillwell, Henk J. Scholten PDF

By John Stillwell, Henk J. Scholten

Significant alterations have occured within the structural composition and geographical distribu­ tion of the populations of North West ecu nations in the course of the 1970's and 1980's. while the subject material of this quantity displays a number of the very important subject matters of analysis job that experience preoccupied British and Dutch spatial demographers and inhabitants geographers over the past decade, the constitution of the e-book goals to facilitate comparability of these chosen issues among the uk and the Netherlands. The e-book has progressively taken form over the time period because the convention in Oxford, in 1986, while the contents have been first awarded. we're very thankful for the help that we've got got throughout the creation approach from Marjie Salisbury, Tim Hadwin and John Dixon on the tuition of Geography, college of Leeds; from Annemieke Perquin on the nationwide actual making plans business enterprise within the Hague; and from Evert Meijer, Elmy Heuvelmans and Berry van Houten at GEODAN in Amsterdam. We additionally desire to recognize the contributions to the sphere of inhabitants geography which were made in recent times by means of John Coward, who died so tragically within the Ke gworth air catastrophe past this year.

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3) a where Mij (t) the number of moves from area i to area j in period t in broad age group A; a M\(t) = 'I: M\(t); and aeA the proportion of origin i moves in broad age group A in standard period s that have destinations in area j. In OPCS (1984) NHSCR data for mid-1977 to mid-1982, supplemented with 1971 census data where the spatial disaggregation of the NHSCR data was insufficient, were used. The broad age groups were (i) ages 0-16 and 29-59 (family ages) (ii) ages 17-28 (labour force ages) (iii) ages 60 and over (retirement ages).

Researchers and consultants outside of central government were asked to prepare these models (Gordijn et al. 1983, Willekens and Drewe 1981; 1984, Martin and Voorhees Associates and Bates 1981). In this chapter these efforts are described and compared in order to assess what has been achieved to date and what improvements could be effected. The earlier sections of the chapter contain an assessment of the needs of users of subnational population projections and a review of the conceptual bases of multiregional models.

The OPCS/DOE model represents an elegant and thoroughly tested solution to the problem of projecting the internal flows of a large number of subnational areal units, carried out by the consultants in a remarkably short period of 18 months. However, a number of further comments can be made based on this algebraic reformulation of the model. Firstly, it is unfortunate that the migration model is decoupled from the population projection model. This means that the indicators of the components of change offered in the projection model output are very limited.

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