Download Climate Change and Security: A Gathering Storm of Global by Christian Webersik PDF

By Christian Webersik

Alarms concerning the increasing position of weather swap as a strength multiplier of present threats to nationwide, foreign, and human safeguard constructions experiences are being raised in any respect degrees of governance and intelligence—national (including the U.S. Senate, the Director of nationwide Intelligence, the valuable Intelligence supplier, and the Pentagon), transnational (including the eu Union and the United Nations), and personal (such because the important information employer and the yank defense Project). weather switch and safety: a meeting hurricane of worldwide demanding situations specializes in the 3 significant suggestions results of human-induced weather switch on human and foreign security—resource shortage, common failures, and sea-level upward thrust. reducing consistent with capita availability of renewable assets as a result of such local results of weather swap as drought and desertification ends up in intensified pageant for those assets and should lead to armed violence—especially whilst compounded via stipulations of fast inhabitants development, tribalism, and sectarianism, as in Darfur and Somalia. the rise within the frequency and depth of meteorological mess ups linked to worldwide warming weakens already debilitated tropical societies and makes them nonetheless extra liable to political instability, as in Haiti. Sea-level upward push will result in disruptive mass migrations of weather refugees as dense littoral populations are pressured to desert low-lying coastal areas, as in Bangladesh.

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Extra info for Climate Change and Security: A Gathering Storm of Global Challenges (Security and the Environment)

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Resource scarcity is also a function of increasing demand for food. 17 At the same time, the demand for biofuels makes food more expensive. Biofuel plants, such as cassava, oil palms, or maize competes with food crops and scarce arable land. In addition to an increase in demand, and as witnessed in Egypt in 2008, countries may introduce protectionist policies to safeguard domestic food supplies and to stabilize prices. This will create an artificial scarcity accompanied by more price hikes. In addition, increasing climate variability will probably increase the scarcity of resources and vulnerability and poverty of growing populations in developing countries.

In addition, increasing climate variability will probably increase the scarcity of resources and vulnerability and poverty of growing populations in developing countries. 18 This will especially affect sub-Saharan Africa. 1). The challenge is not only absolute scarcity of resources but climate variability. Climate variability influences economic performance. Research shows that high climate variability correlates with lowered economic performance. 20 As already mentioned, population growth and gradual industrialization are the main factors.

Adverse consequences of present climate change include biodiversity loss, water scarcity, droughts, greater disease burdens, human migrations, and progressive submergence of populated coastal areas and the disappearance of entire low-lying small island states, such as the Maldives. Much of the following considers the contemporary socioeconomic impacts of climate change on human security (such as drought-induced famines and humanitarian crises caused by tropical cyclones) as well as—but to a lesser extent—international security (conflicts that are exacerbated by climate change with spill-over effects to other countries).

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