By Sam Miller, Jason Wojciechowski
The bestselling annual baseball preview from the neatest analysts within the business
Now in its nineteenth version, the Baseball Prospectus annual exhibits once more the way it turned the chief: The 2014 version comprises key stat different types, extra arguable participant predictions, and the type of clever, witty baseball observation that makes this phone-book-thick tome worthy analyzing hide to cover.
Baseball Prospectus 2014 presents fable gamers and insiders alike with prescient PECOTA projections, which activities Illustrated has referred to as ""perhaps the game's so much exact projection model."" nonetheless, stats are only numbers for those who don't see the bigger context, and Baseball Prospectus brings jointly an elite crew of analysts to supply the definitive examine all thirty teams—their gamers, their clients, and their managers—to clarify away flukes, sizzling streaks, injury-tainted numbers, and park results. Victory, in any case, may perhaps come all the way down to settling on among the intended sleeper and the overvalued clients who won't be capable to idiot humans within the express like they've got down at the farm.
Nearly each major-league workforce has sought the recommendation of present or former Prospectus writers, and readers of Baseball Prospectus 2014 will comprehend what all these fanatics were raving about.
""If you're a baseball fan and also you don't understand what BP is, you're operating in a mine with no a kind of helmets with the lighting on it.""—Keith Olbermann
""The first time I observed the PECOTA projections, i spotted that somebody in the market understood."" —Jeff Luhnow, normal supervisor, Houston Astros
""For me, each year baseball starts off with the large, great, attractive ebook you're retaining on your arms correct now.""—Joe Posnanski
Baseball Prospectus 2013 accurately predicted:
*Disappointing performances via Albert Pujols, Dan Haren, Michael Bourn, Justin Upton, and Tommy Hanson.
*Breakouts by means of Paul Goldschmidt, Freddie Freeman, Kyle Seager, Matt Moore, Shelby Miller, and Jason Kipnis, in addition to bounceback seasons from Jayson Werth and Shin-Soo Choo.
*That Max Scherzer will be a Cy younger contender and Michael Wacha ace-in-waiting for the Cardinals.
*That Wil Myers will be a middle-of-the-order bat for Tampa Bay and Josh Donaldson may ultimately win the wealthy Harden exchange for the A's.
*That CC Sabathia's speed drop can be a challenge, yet Felix Hernandez's wouldn't be.
*That Joaquin Benoit, Kenley Jansen, and Koji Uehara have been larger bullpen bets than pre-season nearer selections Bruce Rondon, Brandon League, and Joel Hanrahan.
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Additional resources for Baseball Prospectus 2014: The Essential Guide to the 2014 Season
An ongoing dispute between McGraw and Ban Johnson, the president of the American League, gave Freedman the notion that possibly McGraw could be pried loose from his moorings in Baltimore, where he had managed for the past three years and had gained recognition as one of baseball's original thinkers. For a decade the runty McGraw had scrapped, shouted, and schemed his way into the hearts of Baltimoreans. At the same time he had antagonized that part of baseball's world that opposed him on the field.
Keeler was the man who "hit 'em where they ain't," and he was, indeed, Wee, at 5'4" and only 140 pounds. Adept at working the hit-and-run with McGraw, Keeler was a man, like Robinson, who confronted the world with more cheeriness than McGraw. Led by McGraw, the Orioles even introduced an element of terror by filing their spikes before each game, in full view of the visiting club's quarters. The tactic was meant to fill the foe with fear—and loathing, with an ultimate aim of intimidation. Ty Cobb later adopted the identical strategy in his program to terrorize defending infielders.
McGraw's response, strictly in a baseball framework, spoke worlds about his own values. "Christy looks like a pitcher with both his head and his arm," he said. " John then reflected on the prodigious memory that his young disciple possessed. Christy had near-photographic recall, he said, and played most social games by remembering numbers. In checkers and chess, which Matty could play blind-folded, against half a dozen opponents at a time, or in cards, where he also was able to 44 MATTY recall all of the cards that had been played, Matty was almost invincible.